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Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".According to the report, the sales of China's household appliances industry will maintain a low growth rate in 2025. S&P Credit Rating (China) Co., Ltd. (S&P Credit Rating) released a report on the 9th, saying that the sales of China's household appliances industry will maintain a low growth rate in 2025, thanks to the continuous growth of exports and the promotion of the "trade-in" policy for domestic sales. According to the report, in 2025, China's home appliance exports will maintain a relatively high growth rate, and the external environment will have a relatively controllable impact on China's home appliance exports. Specifically, emerging market countries, mainly in the Middle East, Southeast Asia and Africa, have a large demand space for China's household appliances, and the penetration rate of household appliances will continue to increase. In 2025, China head home appliance enterprises will further seize the global share and drive home appliance exports to maintain a high growth rate, relying on the advantages of supply chain and the continuous improvement of brand influence.Media: El Salvador will change its pioneering bitcoin practice in exchange for IMF transactions. According to media reports, two people familiar with the matter revealed that El Salvador is expected to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a loan plan of 1.3 billion US dollars in the next two to three weeks. In exchange, El Salvador will change its pioneering practice of using bitcoin as legal tender and reduce the government deficit. A delegation of the International Monetary Fund has arrived in San Salvador to finalize the details of the agreement with the government. People familiar with the matter said that the transaction is expected to release another $1 billion in loans from the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank in the next few years. This loan plan must be approved by the board of directors of the International Monetary Fund, which will enable this Central American country to return to the international financial circle after several years of relative isolation. The country passed a law in June 2021, making it the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. However, the International Monetary Fund opposes El Salvador's adoption of digital currency on the grounds that financial stability and integrity are at risk, and urges the government to stop accepting cryptocurrency as legal tender.

Liang Wang was awarded the best men's doubles of the year. On December 9, Hangzhou, the awarding ceremony of the 2024 World Badminton Federation's Best Athlete of the Year Award and the Hall of Fame selection ceremony were held. Liang Weikeng/Wang Chang won the best men's doubles combination of the year.Market news: Mohammed Al Bashir will form a transitional government.HSBC Holdings: It will pay a dividend of USD 0.1 per share in the third quarter on December 19th, and HSBC Holdings (00005) announced that it will pay a dividend of USD 0.1 per share in the third quarter on December 19th, 2024.

Yan Dongwei: The State Integrated Circuit Fund and Jing Guorui plan to reduce their shares by no more than 2%. Yan Dongwei announced that more than 5% of the company's shareholders, the State Integrated Circuit Fund and Jing Guorui, plan to reduce their shares through block trading due to their own capital needs. The National Integrated Circuit Fund plans to reduce its holdings by no more than 11.991 million shares, accounting for 1% of the company's total share capital; Jingguorui plans to reduce its holdings by no more than 11.991 million shares, accounting for 1% of the company's total share capital. The reduction period is from January 2, 2025 to April 1, 2025, and the reduction price will be determined according to the market price.The number of trains stopped at Yizhuang Station has increased to 12 pairs since the 10th. The reporter learned from the Beijing Bureau of China Railway that the new train operation map will be implemented between Beijing and Tianjin from December 10th, and the new map has optimized the morning and evening peak train operation schemes in Beijing and Tianjin. Without affecting the transportation capacity of stations along the route, the number of trains stopping at Yizhuang Station will be increased from 6 pairs to 12 pairs, the number of trains running at tianjin railway station and Tianjin West Railway Station will be optimized, and a pair of trains stopping at Yizhuang Station and Wuqing Station will be arranged at the same time in the morning and evening rush hours, providing more convenient travel options for passengers along the route.Kaitou Macro: The fall of Assad is unlikely to have a major impact on the energy market. Jason Tuvey, an analyst at Kaitou Macro, said that the fall of former Syrian President Assad is not expected to have a major impact on the energy market. The economist said that even at the peak of about 600,000 barrels per day in the early 21st century, Syria's oil production only accounted for a small part of the global oil supply, and since the beginning of the civil war in 2011, Syria's oil production has declined. At present, the country's oil production is less than 100,000 barrels per day, and most of the country's oil infrastructure has been destroyed. In a report to clients, Tuvey said: "Even if the political situation stabilizes, it will take years or even decades to rebuild, and its economy may never return to the pre-war scale. The situation in the energy market is similar. "